A detailed scientific study was made of climate in the Verde Valley and its likely change over this century. This study was made by CLIMAS, a climate group based at the University of Arizona and comprised of a team of climate specialists who deal with various aspects of climate and how we will be affected by it in the future. CLIMAS itself is an interesting organization and you can read more about it on its website: https://climas.arizona.edu/ . The effort of CLIMAS that is pertinent in this article deals in depth with Verde Valley climate change models in issues such air quality, fire danger, water availability, and the Verde River. Unlike many climate change writings, this report also focuses on adaptation planning. It is a long read read (53 pages) but much can be understood just by examining the many graphs depicting aspects of climate. Best of all, it focuses on our own Verde Valley.
The executive Summary begins: The earth’s climate is changing. Global average temperatures have risen 1.8° F since 1901. Warming temperatures are driving other environmental changes such as melting glaciers, rising sea levels, changes in precipitation patterns, and increased drought and wildfires.
The magnitude of future changes will depend on the amount of greenhouse gases (GHGs) emitted into our atmosphere. Without significant reductions in GHGs, global average temperatures could rise as much as 9° F over pre-industrial temperatures by the end of this century.
The Verde Valley is also experiencing climatic changes that will impact temperatures, precipitation patterns, ecosystems, and human health and well-being. Changes for the region include:
Read the entire report here: http://www.northernarizonaaudubon.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Climate-Report_Verde-Valley-6_2_2020.pdf
After you have looked through this climate study, return to the landmark Audubon study on bird distribution here in Northern Arizona. See that study here: https://www.audubon.org/climate/survivalbydegrees/state/us/az